Incorporating social mechanisms in energy decarbonisation modelling

• A critical review of the socio-technical energy transition (STET) literature shows importance representing societal factors in modelling. The study engages with social mechanisms that have potential to impede or foster rapid transitions such as resistance change and diffusion environmental values within society. We provide modelling steps incorporate quantified socio-political behavioural insights into a probabilistic, non-linear system model, focus on UK residential heating sector. Illustrative scenarios research discussions ponder non-monetary drivers affect future pathways, including consider most fragile segments society long-term policy decision making. achievement national pledges are compatible Paris Agreements warming limit 1.5C is massive challenge, it requires not only an acceleration technological innovation, but also socio-economic cultural transformation. Reducing uncertainties demands better integration evolutions models exploring barriers technology diffusion. This provides suggestions incorporating UK-focused probabilistic people's attitudes towards technologies. offer comprehensive interdisciplinary exploratory embedding climate risks perceptions. argue efficient policy-making meeting net-zero emissions targets must fully embrace whole-system approaches, support more constrained society, account for interconnected factors.